The China Mail - Hong Kong leads stocks higher, yen gains as Ishiba vows to stay

Hong Kong topped 25,000 points for the first time in three years as tech giants advanced following strong earnings from Taiwanese chip giant TSMC and news US titan Nvidia would be allowed to export key semiconductors to China.

While only three countries have signed agreements to avoid the worst of Donald Trump's tariffs, analysts said investors were hopeful that others -- including Japan and South Korea -- will follow suit.

The upbeat mood has been helped by a series of largely positive US economic data releases that suggested the world's top economy remained in rude health, helping to push Wall Street to multiple record highs.

In early trade, Hong Kong climbed to as high as 25,010.90 -- its highest level since February 2022 -- thanks to a strong performance in ecommerce leaders Alibaba and JD.com and food delivery provider Meituan.

Tech has been boosted after Nvidia said last week that it will resume sales of its H20 artificial intelligence chips to China after Washington pledged to remove licensing restrictions that had halted exports.

A surge in Chinese money supply sparked by Beijing's stimulus measures has added to the jump in Hong Kong's market, which has spiked around 25 percent since the turn of the year.

There were also gains in Shanghai, Singapore, Seoul, Wellington, Manila and Jakarta. Sydney and Taipei slipped, while Tokyo was closed for a holiday.

The yen strengthened against the dollar after Ishiba vowed to stay on even after his ruling coalition lost its overall majority in Sunday's lower house elections, months after it suffered a similar fate in an upper house vote.

The losses came amid growing anger at the surging cost of living, including a doubling in the cost of rice.

Analysts said that while the result was bad for the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its partner Komeito, the fact that the prime minister would remain in office provided some stability for now.

The yen hit 147.79 per dollar in early trade but pared the gains to sit at 148.45 -- still stronger than Friday's finish.

The currency had been weighed in recent weeks by expectations a bad defeat would lead to more spending and tax cuts.

Despite Ishiba's decision to stay, pressure will grow on the coalition to cut or abolish consumption tax, something Ishiba has opposed in view of Japan's colossal national debts of more than 200 percent of gross domestic product.

It also comes as he struggles to reach a trade deal with Trump, who has threatened tariffs of 25 percent on goods from Japan.

He said "the deadline of (US) tariffs is coming on August 1. Until then we have to do our best with our body and soul".

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Friday a "mutually beneficial trade agreement... remains within the realm of possibility".

Jiji Press reported that Ishiba would inform a meeting of senior LDP figures on Monday that he will stay in office.

If he did go, it is unclear who might step up to replace him now that the government needs opposition support in both chambers to pass legislation.

The election result "now raises a host of questions, including whether... Ishiba remains in power or decides to resign, how potentially expansionary could fiscal policy become, and will domestic politics be a hurdle in reaching a potential trade agreement with the US?", wrote Paul Mackel, global head of forex research at HSBC.

Others suggested the yen could still come under pressure, and possibly top 150 for the first time since March, owing to lingering uncertainty about the leadership.

- Key figures at around 0230 GMT -

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.5 percent at 24,944.31

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 3,550.33

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: Closed for a holiday

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 148.43 yen from 148.73 yen on Friday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1624 from $1.1627

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3415 from $1.3414

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.65 pence from 86.67 pence

West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.3 percent at $67.52 per barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.3 percent at $69.46 per barrel

New York - Dow: DOWN 0.3 percent at 44,342.19 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 8,992.12 (close)

D.Peng--ThChM